Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.327111 3.888922 4.485565 5.163264 5.908556 6.700194 7.601594
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.439823 3.195502 4.058003 5.101931 6.317957 7.677070 9.298073
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.815868 2.661692 3.695892 5.021419 6.643470 8.533607 10.871853
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.496332 2.425302 3.630789 5.250221 7.310217 9.787832 12.936345
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.184890 2.134003 3.442324 5.281817 7.707929 10.710698 14.618313
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.022633 2.016761 3.458037 5.559730 8.410452 12.015956 16.791178
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.877359 1.894537 3.443291 5.780135 9.031752 13.224432 18.863657
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.730054 1.738258 3.354068 5.877461 9.477764 14.207121 20.661962
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.578900 1.541826 3.175388 5.821998 9.697753 14.886276 22.072645
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.487983 1.435288 3.122572 5.940403 10.154325 15.880656 23.903383
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.410179 1.336091 3.067269 6.044140 10.584736 16.841329 25.699704
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.313336 1.169546 2.873367 5.911108 10.656526 17.304289 26.833629
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.230297 1.009327 2.672134 5.754499 10.691663 17.726671 27.938652
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.175039 0.898361 2.546758 5.710775 10.890497 18.379456 29.366668
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.128568 0.790655 2.410560 5.634600 11.030640 18.946637 30.682973
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.112804 0.774428 2.461342 5.887705 11.692614 20.275998 33.074049
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.086851 0.708760 2.395571 5.924601 12.008484 21.105581 34.777924
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.078398 0.707390 2.473064 6.226633 12.757872 22.581665 37.407843
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.067983 0.692359 2.516491 6.465550 13.408976 23.921796 39.861562
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.053905 0.650938 2.491178 6.571026 13.841494 24.942594 41.873772
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.037484 0.581225 2.384796 6.511281 13.994489 25.544844 43.294215
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.029398 0.551442 2.375316 6.639250 14.463211 26.626992 45.412302
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.022507 0.521134 2.359357 6.751286 14.904874 27.671622 47.484624